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20 days of compute vs 7 hours: rethinking what state-of-the-art means — Bertrand Charpentier, Pruna
Jun 1, 2026 · 19:36
Bertrand Charpentier, cofounder and chief scientist at Pruna AI, argues that state-of-the-art is not a single model but multiple on a Pareto front that balances quality and efficiency. He highlights that public leaderboards disagree—Hunyuan ranks 10th on Artificial Analysis but 5th on Arena—and most models lose 40% of head-to-head battles, meaning the top-ranked model is wrong for nearly half of use cases. Evaluating a large model like ChatGPT image on Design Arena (26k battles, 62 seconds each) costs $5,000 and 20 days of compute, consuming energy equivalent to 400 marathons, while a fast compressed model completes the same evaluation in 7 hours for $265. Charpentier advocates plotting quality against latency or cost to find the frontier, which often surfaces small specialized models instead of large foundation models, with 20x efficiency differences at similar quality scores.

What Do Models Still Suck At? - Peter Gostev, Arena.ai, BullshitBench
Apr 24, 2026 · 20:24
Peter Gostev presents data from his BullshitBench and Arena.ai to argue that language models still struggle with nonsense questions and expert-level tasks, despite benchmark charts showing relentless improvement. His BullshitBench reveals that only Claude Sonnet 4.5 and some Qwen models consistently push back on nonsense, while GPT and Gemini models accept it 50% of the time. Arena.ai's dissatisfaction rate among top 25 models has improved from 17% pre-reasoning to about 9% currently, but remains non-zero, and expert categories like gaming, magic, finance, and law show minimal improvement. For software expert prompts, dissatisfaction dropped from 23.5% in Q2 2024 to 13% in Q1 2026, but gaming is a persistent weakness where models fail to create engaging game mechanics. Gostev warns that narrow benchmarks overstate progress and urges focusing on the full distribution of real-world tasks.
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